| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Smith | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jay Byars | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mark Sanford | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Logan Cunningham | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jenny Costa Honeycutt | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sam McCown | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Justin Myers | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alex Pelbath | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which candidate will become the Republican nominee in South Carolina's 1st Congressional District (SC-01). The outcome matters because the nominee will compete in the general election for a seat that can shape House party control and local policy priorities.
SC-01 is a coastal district that includes Charleston and surrounding areas; its electorate mixes urban, suburban, and military communities, and local economic issues like tourism, ports, and coastal resilience are prominent. The district has seen competitive races in recent cycles and occasionally features contested Republican primaries, making nomination contests politically significant.
Market prices reflect the aggregated views of traders about who will be the certified Republican nominee and update as new information arrives. Treat prices as a real-time snapshot of market sentiment, not a fixed prediction of final election results.
Outcomes correspond to the individual Republican candidates listed by the exchange (typically those who have filed or been added by market organizers) and may include catch-all options such as 'Other' or 'No nominee' if offered; check the market page for the current list of named outcomes.
The market will resolve according to the exchange's rules once the Republican nominee is officially certified by the state party or election authority, which usually occurs after the Republican primary and any required runoff; the exchange sets the final resolution timing and may note it on the market page.
If no primary candidate reaches the state’s threshold for an outright win and a runoff is triggered, the market may shift to reflect the two runoff candidates and new information; resolution will wait until the runoff produces a certified nominee.
Major campaign events such as candidate withdrawals or entries, high-profile endorsements, significant fundraising or advertising reports, local polling releases, and breaking news about candidates or district issues typically produce rapid market movement.
Track state filings with the South Carolina State Election Commission, local and state political reporting, official campaign announcements, and notices from the market operator; exchanges will often update outcomes if a listed candidate withdraws or if new candidates meet listing criteria.