| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy Lacore | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mayra Rivera-Vazquez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mac Deford | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Robert Beers | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| KJ Atwood | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Max Diaz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which candidate will be the Democratic nominee for South Carolina's 1st Congressional District (SC-01). The outcome matters because the nominee sets the Democratic ticket for the general election in a district where candidate quality and turnout can be decisive.
SC-01 is a coastal Lowcountry district with a mix of urban, suburban, and some rural communities; local economic concerns, military and veteran issues, and demographic composition shape Democratic primary dynamics. Recent cycles have produced competitive nominations, and intra-party coalitions, endorsements, and turnout often determine the winner.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of traders and adjust to new information; they indicate relative support among outcomes but are not guarantees. Treat market signals as one real-time input alongside polling, fundraising, and local reporting.
The market resolves to the individual officially recognized as the Democratic nominee for SC-01 according to the relevant certification by the South Carolina Democratic Party or the state election authority, and in accordance with the platform's settlement rules. If a runoff is required to produce a nominee, the eventual certified winner is the resolving outcome.
The process includes candidate filing, primary voting by Democratic voters in the district, and any runoff procedure required under South Carolina rules; after those steps the party or state certifies the nominee. The market will reflect developments through that cycle.
A withdrawal changes the real-world contest and typically influences market prices as traders update expectations, but the market's official outcomes and any adjustments follow the platform's policies—watch official withdrawal announcements and the market's notices for how outcomes are treated.
Key influences include turnout among urban and suburban voters, Black voters and other demographic blocs within the district, local economic and development concerns, and communities tied to military installations or coastal industries; campaigns that translate those interests into votes tend to perform well.
Use the market as a real-time barometer of aggregated expectations that responds quickly to news; combine it with polling, endorsement announcements, fundraising totals, and qualitative reporting from the district to form a more complete picture of who is likely to secure the nomination.