| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GLM | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kimi | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dola | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ChatGPT | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Grok | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Claude | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Qwen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gemini | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which named AI will finish as the runner-up for the specified week among the eight listed outcomes; it matters because traders express collective judgement about short-term comparative performance and attention in the AI space.
These weekly ranking markets capture short-term shifts in performance, publicity, or usage between competing AI systems and are resolved according to the data source and rules specified on the KALSHI market page. Historically, outcomes in similar weekly markets can swing quickly with new benchmark results, product announcements, or viral demonstrations.
Market odds reflect how traders collectively assess the relative likelihood of each listed outcome given current information; interpret them as a dynamic snapshot of market consensus rather than a fixed forecast.
It asks which specific named AI among the eight outcomes will be ranked second for the designated weekly period according to the market's stated resolution criteria; the market resolves to the outcome that meets the exchange's predefined measurement of second place.
The exchange will set an official close time and a resolution window; typically the market closes either before or at the end of the week in question and resolves after the authoritative data source publishes the ranking—watch the KALSHI market page for the announced close and resolution timestamps.
The market's resolution clause names the single authoritative source (for example, a specific leaderboard, competition results, or published usage statistics); the listed source and its exact metric are what KALSHI will use to determine second place.
Tie-breaking and ambiguity are resolved according to the market's rulebook: the exchange may apply a pre-specified tie-break procedure, split or void contracts, or use a secondary source if listed—consult the market's resolution rules for the precise tie-handling method.
Traders should monitor scheduled benchmark publications, product releases or model updates from the teams of the listed AIs, major press coverage or viral demos, adoption or usage reports, and any operational incidents or controversies that could alter public or technical evaluations during the week.