| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Naftali Bennett | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gadi Eizenkot | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Yair Lapid | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Benny Gantz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Yariv Levin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Yair Golan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Itamar Ben Gvir | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Yossi Cohen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Israel Katz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gideon Sa'ar | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ayelet Shaked | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Amir Ohana | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Moshe Feiglin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Yoaz Hendel | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nir Barkat | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Yuli Edelstein | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks who will serve as the Prime Minister of Israel following the next general election scheduled for 2026. Determining the next head of government is central to Israel's domestic policy and its strategic regional position.
Israel's parliamentary system relies on building coalitions within the Knesset, meaning the Prime Minister is often the leader of the party that can successfully negotiate terms with smaller factions. The political landscape is currently marked by intense debate regarding security policies, judicial oversight, and coalition stability. Future leadership remains highly fluid as parties navigate shifting voter alliances and internal party leadership contests.
Market prices reflect the collective anticipation of political analysts, pollsters, and traders regarding which individual is most likely to secure the mandate to form the next government.
The winner is the individual formally sworn in as Prime Minister following the 2026 parliamentary election.
The market tracks the person who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister after the election process concludes and a government is successfully seated.
If the Knesset dissolves early, elections could occur sooner than 2026, which would necessitate adjustments to the market scope based on its specific rules.
The market specifically refers to the Prime Minister who takes office following the results of the 2026 election cycle.
Because Israeli governments are coalitions, traders must predict not only which party performs well, but which leader can successfully unify a majority of Knesset members.