| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic party | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Republican party | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which candidate will win the Ohio gubernatorial election. It matters because the governor sets state policy and Ohio is frequently politically consequential for both parties.
Ohio combines large urban centers, suburban battlegrounds and rural counties, producing close statewide contests in many recent cycles. State issues such as the economy, healthcare, education, and social policy interact with national political trends and local candidate dynamics to shape the race.
Market prices express the consensus view of traders and update as new information arrives; follow price movement over time to see how sentiment changes as polls, returns, and news come in.
The market's close time is listed as TBD; settlement typically uses the official, certified statewide election result. Check the market page for any posted close or settlement rules—if no date is given the market will usually resolve after official certification.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific candidate name shown on the contract. Review the market's outcome labels and description to confirm which candidate each side represents.
Resolution generally follows the final certified result from Ohio election authorities; if recounts or litigation change that certification the market will settle according to the final official determination per the contract's resolution rules.
Poll releases, fundraising and endorsement news, debate performances, county-level vote counts and emerging vote-counting trends, and legal developments tend to drive price changes, with especially rapid moves on election night as returns arrive.
If the certified winner is not one of the listed outcomes, the market's published resolution rules determine the result—some markets will be voided/canceled, others specify alternate settlement procedures. Check the contract terms for the exact treatment.