| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic party | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Republican party | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which party will win the U.S. House seat for Ohio's 1st Congressional District (OH-01). Outcomes signal which party will hold that seat and can contribute to broader expectations about control of the House and local political direction.
OH-01 covers parts of the Cincinnati area and surrounding suburbs and has been competitive in recent cycles; results depend on local demographics, turnout patterns, and how district lines are drawn. Redistricting, candidate quality, and the national political environment have all influenced recent contests in the district and remain relevant going into upcoming elections.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of participants based on available information (polling, fundraising, local news, etc.) and update as new information arrives; they are not guarantees but a real-time summary of perceived likelihoods.
The market resolves to the party of the candidate who is officially certified as the winner of OH-01 by the relevant Ohio election authorities for the election specified in the contract; check the market page for exact resolution criteria.
This contract resolves based on the specific contest named in the market description, which is typically the general election for OH-01; primaries normally do not determine the outcome unless the contract explicitly states otherwise.
The market outcome is determined by the winner in OH-01 as legally defined for the contest in question; boundary changes can alter the district's partisan balance and should be considered when assessing the race.
Resolution depends on the contract's listed outcomes. If the market includes an option for 'other' or lists specific parties, follow the contract rules; consult the market page for how nonmajor winners are treated.
The market close and settlement timing are specified on the KALSHI market page and are currently listed as TBD; settlement generally follows official vote counts and state certification per the exchange's rules.