| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cait Conley | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Beth Davidson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Effie Phillips-Staley | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jessica Reinmann | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mike Sacks | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| John Sullivan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| John Cappello | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Peter Chatzky | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which candidate will be the Democratic nominee for New York's 17th Congressional District. It matters because the nominee determines who will represent the district on the general election ballot and can signal broader party dynamics in the region.
New York's 17th district has seen boundary changes and shifting local dynamics in recent redistricting cycles; nomination contests can involve incumbents, challengers, or open-seat races depending on retirements and map changes. Nomination is ordinarily decided by a Democratic primary or by the party's official nominating process in the case of a special contest, and the official certification process determines the formal nominee.
Market prices on this event reflect the collective assessment of traders based on available information and will change as new news arrives; treat them as a real-time signal of market expectations rather than a guarantee of outcome.
The market will resolve to the candidate officially recognized as the Democratic nominee for NY-17 by the resolution source specified in the contract (check the event page for the named official source, commonly the New York State Board of Elections or the market's resolution rules).
The market resolves when the official nomination is certified according to the contract's resolution rules; if dates are not set, the market remains open until that certification or until the event's stated resolution conditions are met.
Resolution follows the official nominee as certified by the designated authority; practical developments like withdrawals or write-in campaigns will influence trader expectations but only the final certified nominee determines the market outcome.
Yes, if the contract's resolution source recognizes a convention or committee decision as the official nomination method, the candidate designated through that process will be treated as the nominee for resolution purposes.
Use the market as one real-time aggregation of participant views alongside polls, fundraising numbers, endorsements, and on-the-ground reporting; watch how market prices move in response to specific news to infer which developments traders find most consequential.