| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adriano Espaillat | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Darializa Avila Chevalier | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oscar Romero | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Theo Chino-Tavarez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jaliel Amador | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| James Felton Keith | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Matt Miller | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Megan Rodriguez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which person will be the Democratic nominee for New York's 13th Congressional District; it matters because the nominee determines the Democratic candidate in the next House contest for that district.
The outcome depends on the local nomination process used by the Democratic Party for NY-13 (primary election, convention, or appointment), and on the local political dynamics—endorsements, turnout, and candidate organization. District lines, incumbency status, and any special-election timing or legal disputes can materially affect who becomes the nominee.
Market prices reflect traders' collective expectations about which candidate will be officially certified as the Democratic nominee; they update as new information arrives but do not guarantee an outcome.
This market lists eight outcomes; each outcome corresponds to a named individual who could be certified as the Democratic nominee for NY-13.
Resolution timing is determined by the market's stated rules; typically it resolves when the party or election authorities officially certify the Democratic nominee, but the listing currently shows the close date as TBD—check the market page for updates and the resolution criteria.
Market operators follow predefined resolution and amendment rules: they may remove or mark outcomes, adjust listings, or resolve based on the officially certified nominee at the time of resolution. Consult the market's rulebook for the specific procedure.
The market is tied to whichever official process produces the Democratic nominee for NY-13—primary, convention, or appointment—and will resolve according to the official selection method specified in the market's rules.
Watch local news for endorsement announcements, candidate filings and withdrawals, primary or special-election schedule updates, fundraising reports, campaign events, and any legal challenges affecting ballot access or certification.