| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Reynoso | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Julia Salazar | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kristen Gonzalez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jennifer Gutiérrez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Julie Won | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sandy Nurse | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lincoln Restler | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tiffany Cabán | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Claire Valdez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which individual will be the Democratic nominee for New York's 7th Congressional District; the nominee determines who will represent the party in the general election and can affect the balance of local and national House races.
The NY-07 nomination is shaped by the district's recent political history, any ongoing redistricting effects, and whether an incumbent is running or the seat is open. Local demographics, community issues, and the relative strength of campaigns historically influence primary outcomes in this district.
Prices in this prediction market reflect traders' aggregated expectations about who will be officially certified as the Democratic nominee and update as new information arrives. Use market prices as a dynamic signal alongside polls and local reporting rather than a standalone forecast.
Resolution typically follows official certification of the Democratic nominee by the appropriate election authority; the market page will display the specific close or resolution rules (listed as TBD here) and any administrative dates used for determining the official nominee.
The listed outcomes correspond to the set of candidates and options the market creator included when the contract was posted; that can include multiple declared candidates plus catch-all options such as 'other' or a separate choice for write-ins, depending on the market design.
Such developments typically lead traders to reprice outcomes quickly as expectations change; official withdrawals or disqualifications that change the certified nominee will be reflected at resolution, and any questions about interim changes are governed by the market's rule set.
Track local news and beat reporting for endorsements and ground activity, campaign finance filings for fundraising trends, official filings or ballot access updates from the state board, and any credible local polling to understand voter preferences.
Markets resolve to the nominee officially certified at the resolution point defined by the market rules; if a subsequent replacement occurs after that official certification, it is typically outside the market's resolution and is handled as a separate political development—check the market's rules or contact the exchange operators for specific contingency procedures.