| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Settelmeyer | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| David Flippo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jesse Watts | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| William Conrad | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fred Simon Jr. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Andrea Lowe | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bruce Grego | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jennifer Billat | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Thomas Doyle | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| George Forbush | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jerry Olsen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rick Shepherd | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Douglas Miller | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michael Smith | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sherman Tylawsky | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which Republican will become the party's nominee for Nevada's 2nd Congressional District; the nominee determines who will represent the GOP on the general-election ballot and shapes campaign dynamics in the district.
Nevada's 2nd District nomination is decided through the state's official nominating process (primary or party certification) and often features multiple Republican contenders. The market lists 15 distinct outcomes to reflect the field of declared or notable candidates and will update as the race evolves.
Market prices are a real-time aggregation of traders' expectations about who will be the official Republican nominee; treat them as a consensus signal that updates with new information, not as a guaranteed prediction.
The market's 15 outcomes correspond to specific declared or notable Republican candidates selected by the market creator; view the market page or official candidate filings to see the current list and the exact outcome labels.
Resolution will follow the event's rulebook and the official certification process: the outcome that matches the Republican nominee as certified by Nevada election authorities or the party (per the market's resolution criteria) will resolve the market; the market close is listed as TBD, so check the market rules for exact timing.
Traders will reprice outcomes as the field changes; the market may retain withdrawn candidates as outcomes until resolution rules or market administrators remove or relabel them — ultimate settlement depends on the official nominee designation.
If an incumbent or well‑known figure is on the ballot, traders typically treat them as having advantages in recognition, fundraising, and organizational support, but those advantages can be offset by strong challengers, scandals, or strategic shifts, which markets will reflect as news develops.
Track Nevada Secretary of State and county election filings and certifications, local news outlets and beat reporters covering NV-02, candidate press releases and debate performances, FEC/state fundraising reports, endorsements from local and state GOP leaders, and any primary polling or turnout reports specific to the district.