| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teresa Benitez-Thompson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Greg Kidd | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Matthew Fonken | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Morgan Wadsworth | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kathy Durham | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Joshua Hebert | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Samuel White | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mark Jolle | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gamaliel Zavala Enriquez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| John Kerns | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gerold Lee Gorman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which individual will become the Democratic nominee for Nevada's 2nd Congressional District. The outcome matters because the nominee sets the party's challenger for the general election in this congressional district.
Nevada's 2nd District includes a mix of suburban, rural, and exurban communities and its partisan balance can shift with redistricting and demographic change. The presence of 11 outcomes on this market indicates a crowded primary field and potential for vote-splitting or late consolidation around one candidate.
Prices on this market reflect collective trader expectations about which listed candidate will be certified as the Democratic nominee; they change as filings, withdrawals, endorsements, and official certification occur.
Resolution depends on the market operator's rules; typically it resolves when Nevada certifies the primary winner or when the Democratic Party formally designates its nominee—check the market rules and exchange announcements for the exact trigger.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific candidate or a discrete option listed on the market (for example, named individuals or an 'other/no nominee' option); review the market's outcome labels to see which names are included.
Withdrawals can concentrate support and shift market prices quickly, while late filings or replacements can introduce uncertainty; the exchange may relabel or leave outcomes as listed, so track official filing records and exchange notices.
Key milestones are the candidate filing deadline, the Democratic primary date or nominating process, and the certification of results—each can decisively change who is considered the nominee and drive trading activity.
In NV-02, endorsements from prominent state or district leaders and rapid fundraising improve a candidate's ability to build a ground game across dispersed communities; these factors often translate into clearer market movement, especially in a crowded field.