| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anita Earls | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sarah Stevens | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which candidate will ultimately be declared the winner of the North Carolina Supreme Court race; it matters because state supreme courts decide high‑impact legal questions that affect state policy and elections.
North Carolina Supreme Court seats are decided in statewide elections and their outcomes can shift the court’s ideological balance, affecting rulings on voting rules, redistricting, and state law. These races have drawn increasing attention in recent cycles as state courts have played a larger role in politically salient issues. The market aggregates public information and trader expectations about who will prevail.
Market prices reflect the collective judgment of traders based on available information and are updated as new data arrives; small trading volume can make prices more volatile and sensitive to individual trades. Treat market odds as a dynamic signal rather than a fixed prediction.
Each outcome corresponds to one of the two candidates listed on the market page; the outcome that is marked as the winner will be the candidate the market platform recognizes as the official victor according to its resolution criteria.
The market close is listed as TBD on the event page; resolution typically follows the platform's stated rules and often occurs after state election officials certify results, which can be delayed by recounts or legal challenges.
If the election outcome is subject to recounts or litigation, the market may remain open or be delayed in resolving until the platform’s resolution policy is satisfied—check the market description and KALSHI’s resolution rules for specifics.
Yes — low volume means prices can move a lot on small trades and may reflect the views of a few participants rather than broad information, so treat price signals with caution and look for corroborating evidence from polls and returns.
Track statewide polling, early and absentee ballot returns as they are reported, fundraising and ad spending reports, major endorsements, county‑level vote patterns (urban vs. rural splits), and any legal developments or certifications from the North Carolina State Board of Elections.