| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 75% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 75 - 79.99% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 80 - 84.99% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 85 - 89.99% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 90 - 94.99% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 95 - 100% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks what share of the vote Roy Cooper will receive in the North Carolina Democratic Senate primary and is useful because it aggregates participant expectations about his performance within the Democratic electorate.
Roy Cooper is a high‑profile statewide elected official with prior statewide campaigns and substantial name recognition across North Carolina, which shapes baseline expectations for his primary performance. North Carolina Democratic primaries can vary from low‑turnout affairs to competitive contests when multiple notable candidates run, and dynamics in the primary can influence the party’s general‑election positioning. Market participants will weigh Cooper’s past electoral performance, current campaign activity, and the strength of his intra‑party challengers.
Prediction market prices reflect the collective information and beliefs of traders about Cooper’s eventual vote share; they move as new information (polls, endorsements, turnout signals) arrives. Treat market prices as a real‑time signal to combine with polls, fundamentals, and official results rather than as a definitive prediction.
This market will settle to the officially certified vote percentage for Roy Cooper as reported by the North Carolina State Board of Elections; consult the exchange’s settlement rules for the precise timing and any procedural details.
Outcomes are structured around discrete vote‑share brackets (ranges) for Cooper’s percentage of the Democratic primary vote, allowing traders to take positions on which range the official result will fall into.
Public opinion polls, major endorsements or withdrawals, campaign staffing and advertising changes, high‑visibility debates or news events, and revised turnout or absentee‑ballot estimates are the most common drivers.
North Carolina awards the nomination to the candidate with the most votes in the primary (a plurality); there is no statewide primary runoff requirement.
Settlement will follow the official certified vote totals: if Cooper remains on the ballot and receives votes, those will count; if he is removed from the ballot or declared ineligible, the exchange’s rulebook will specify how the market is handled (e.g., voiding or special settlement), so consult the platform’s policies for the exact procedure.