| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic party | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Republican party | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which political party’s candidate will win the U.S. House seat for North Carolina’s 13th congressional district. It matters because control of individual seats affects the balance of the House and signals local political trends.
NC-13’s outcome is shaped by local demographics, recent redistricting, and whether an incumbent is running; these factors interact with broader national political dynamics. Historically, districts like NC-13 can be competitive when boundaries change or when turnout shifts, so small local developments can have outsized effects.
Prediction market prices represent traders’ collective assessment of the likelihood of each party winning and update as new information arrives. Use them as a real-time synthesis of information (polls, fundraising, news, turnout signals), not as static forecasts.
This market lists two outcomes corresponding to the two major parties; the outcome that pays out will be the party whose candidate is officially certified as the winner of the NC-13 House race.
The market’s close time is listed as TBD on the event page; resolution will follow the exchange’s rules and is typically based on the official, certified election result rather than initial election-night returns.
If the contest goes to a runoff, recount, or certification is delayed, the market will resolve according to the exchange’s stated resolution policy—generally after an official winner is certified—so check the exchange’s rules and announcements for specifics.
No; this event has two outcomes tied to the two major parties. Third-party or independent votes will influence which major-party candidate wins, but there is no separate outcome for them in this market.
Watch local polling releases, major fundraising updates or ad buys, candidate debates and scandals, endorsements from prominent local figures, court rulings affecting the ballot or district lines, and early- and election-day turnout reports in key precincts.