| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Barringer | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Alexander Nicholi | 4% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $405 | Trade → |
| Frank Pierce | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $200 | Trade → |
This market asks which candidate will be the Democratic nominee in North Carolina's 13th Congressional District; the nominee shapes the party's general‑election campaign in the district and contributes to broader House dynamics.
NC-13 is a U.S. House district whose boundaries and electorate have been influenced by recent redistricting and local demographic trends, so the competitive landscape can shift as maps and turnout patterns change. Whether the seat is open or held by an incumbent, local issues, party organization, and national political environment all shape the primary contest.
Market prices represent the collective judgment of traders about who will become the officially certified Democratic nominee; movements reflect new information such as endorsements, fundraising, polls, withdrawals, or legal changes.
This market lists three named outcomes corresponding to the options available on the market—typically the leading declared candidates or an alternative outcome provided by the market. The market will resolve to whichever named outcome matches the officially certified Democratic nominee.
The market resolves once the Democratic nominee for NC-13 is officially determined and certified following the applicable primary or nomination process. The market's closing date is listed as TBD, so watch the market page and official state/party communications for timing.
Resolution follows the market's rules and official certification: if a named candidate withdraws before the deciding contest or the certified nominee is not one of the named outcomes, the market will resolve according to its stated resolution policy (for example, to an 'Other' outcome if available). Traders should consult the market's rulebook for exact procedures.
Announcements of major endorsements, fundraising and FEC filing updates, polling releases focused on NC-13, candidate debates or strong media moments, entry/exit of a major candidate, and any legal or redistricting rulings affecting the district are the most likely triggers for price movement.
For most congressional primaries in North Carolina, the nominee is chosen by the candidate who receives the plurality of votes in the party primary; party or state rules can vary in special circumstances, so consult the North Carolina State Board of Elections or the state party for authoritative details.