| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Ager | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| Richard Hudspeth | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Paul Maddox | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $56 | Trade → |
| Lee Whipple | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $33 | Trade → |
| Zelda Briarwood | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which candidate will be the Democratic nominee for North Carolina's 11th Congressional District. The nominee determines who will represent Democrats in the general election and signals intra-party strength in that district.
NC-11 covers parts of western North Carolina and has seen boundary and demographic changes from recent redistricting cycles, which can alter the electorate that decides the nominee. The Democratic nominee is typically chosen in a state-run primary (or a party-run nominating process if applicable), and fields often include local officials, activists, and newcomers. Local issues, turnout patterns, and the timing of endorsements or withdrawals can all shape the race.
Market prices represent the aggregated expectations of traders about which listed outcome will be the official nominee and change as new information becomes available. Treat price movement as one real-time signal among others (filings, endorsements, fundraising, official calendars) when assessing how the race is evolving.
Each outcome on the market corresponds to a specific named candidate or a catch-all outcome as listed on the market page; consult the market interface for the current outcome labels and any 'other' or 'no nominee' options.
Settlement follows the market's stated rules and official sources — typically the certified result from the appropriate election authority or party certification; check the market's settlement source and close date on the event page (this market currently shows close date as TBD).
If a candidate officially withdraws or is removed from the ballot, markets generally adjust to reflect the official field and will settle based on the final certified nominee; specific handling can vary, so review the market's rule text for edge-case procedures.
Key timeline events include the filing deadline for candidates, any scheduled primary or nominating date, deadlines for ballot certification, and major endorsement announcements; court rulings on district lines or last-minute withdrawals can also be decisive.
Authoritative updates come from the North Carolina State Board of Elections, local county boards of elections, candidate filings and press releases, and reputable local media covering NC-11; the market page may also link to the settlement source and relevant documentation.