| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic party | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Republican party | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which party will win the U.S. House seat in North Carolina's 7th congressional district; individual district outcomes determine local representation and contribute to the balance of power in the House.
NC-07 is a specific congressional district in North Carolina whose boundaries and partisan lean can change with redistricting and demographic shifts. Recent cycles have seen competitive campaigns and high attention from state and national parties, making individual races informative about broader political trends.
Market prices represent the collective, real-time assessment of traders about which party will be the certified winner in the NC-07 general election; they update as new information arrives and should be viewed as a consensus signal rather than a guarantee.
This market trades two outcomes tied to which party — Democratic or Republican — is the certified winner of the NC-07 U.S. House general election. The winning candidate's party determines which outcome is resolved as the winner.
Resolution follows the official certification of the NC-07 House race by the appropriate state authority; that can occur days or weeks after Election Day depending on counting, absentee ballots, and any legal challenges. Check the market page for the listed resolution policy and timing.
The market resolves based on the final certified result as defined in the contract. If recounts or legal disputes change the certified outcome, settlement will follow the final certification, which can delay resolution until disputes are settled.
This market is specific to the general election House race for NC-07. Primary contests are separate events unless the contract explicitly states otherwise.
If a candidate outside the two major parties wins, resolution depends on the contract language: typically the market resolves to the party that matches the certified winner. If neither traded outcome applies or the contract does not cover that scenario, the exchange's resolution rules will determine the result, which may include voiding or other settlement procedures.