| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic party | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Republican party | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which party will win the U.S. House seat for North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District; it matters because the district's result contributes to the composition of the House and reflects local political dynamics.
NC-03 covers parts of coastal and eastern North Carolina, combining urban centers, rural counties, and communities tied to military installations and coastal industries. Competitiveness in the district is shaped by incumbency, candidate quality, local economic issues, and any recent redistricting.
Market prices aggregate traders' expectations and move as new information arrives; use price movement to gauge how collective expectations shift over time rather than as a definitive forecast.
There are two outcomes: a Republican win in NC-03 and a Democratic win in NC-03; the market settles to whichever party is declared the official winner for the district.
Closing is listed as TBD; settlement will follow the market operator's rules and is typically based on the official certified election result from North Carolina authorities or a court-certified outcome.
If the election outcome is contested, the market will follow the operator's settlement protocol, which generally waits for the final certified result or judicial ruling before settling.
Local polling releases, county-level early returns, major endorsements, campaign spending or ad pushes, turnout reports from key precincts (including military bases and coastal counties), and any candidate controversies.
Official results and certification statements from the North Carolina State Board of Elections and county boards of elections are authoritative; courts and official certification documents determine the final, settled winner.