| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shri Thanedar | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Donavan McKinney | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nazmul Hassan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shelby Campbell | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Anthony Carbonaro | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which person will be the Democratic nominee in Michigan's 13th Congressional District primary. The nominee determines who will appear on the general election ballot for a district that is often politically significant at the local and congressional level.
Michigan's 13th Congressional District has a local history shaped by urban neighborhoods, community leaders, and, in some cycles, long-serving representatives; district lines and numbering can change after redistricting. Democratic primaries in this district typically hinge on local name recognition, institutional endorsements, turnout among core constituencies, and campaign organization rather than national dynamics alone.
Prediction market odds reflect the collective judgement of traders about which named outcome will become the official, certified Democratic nominee; they update as new information arrives and should be read as a snapshot of market expectations, not a guarantee of the result.
This market lists five outcomes, each corresponding to a named candidate (or a designated alternative outcome) becoming the Democratic nominee for Michigan's 13th Congressional District; the market will settle to whichever outcome matches the officially certified Democratic nominee.
The market close is listed as TBD; exchanges typically close markets either at the primary, at certification of results, or at an exchange-specified cutoff—check the market page for the official close time and settlement schedule.
Settlement follows the official designation used by the state and the exchange: the market pertains to the Democratic nominee for the geographic entity labeled Michigan's 13th Congressional District as defined for the relevant election cycle; if boundaries or numbering change, the exchange will publish settlement guidance.
Key movers include major endorsements, candidate withdrawals or disqualifications, fundraising and campaign staffing reports, local polling or credible surveys, primary day turnout developments, and any legal rulings affecting ballots or candidacies.
The market resolves to the officially certified Democratic nominee. If a post-primary replacement or disqualification changes who is certified, settlement follows that official certification and any additional guidance provided by the exchange.