| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quincy Bareebe | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Reuben Collins II | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| James Makle Jr. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Elldwnia English | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Heather Luper | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Harold Tolbert | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jerry Lightfoot | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Arthur Ellis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Leigha Messick | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tracy Starr | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Terry Jackson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kenneth Simons | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Keith Salkowski | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Harry Jarin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Wala Blegay | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alexis Solis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dave Sundberg | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mark Kenneth Arness | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Walter Kirkland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ellis Colvin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nicole Williams | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rushern Baker III | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Adrian Boafo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Harry Dunn | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which individual will be the Democratic nominee for Maryland’s 5th Congressional District (MD-05). The nominee determines who will appear on the general election ballot and influences party strategy and voter choice in the district.
MD-05’s primary outcome is shaped by local political dynamics such as incumbency status, candidate quality, and the district’s demographic and partisan composition. Primary fields can change rapidly due to withdrawals, endorsements, and late entries, and the winner is the person certified by Maryland election authorities as the Democratic nominee for the relevant cycle.
Prices in this market reflect the aggregation of participants’ expectations and incorporate new public information as it emerges; they should be read as a market signal rather than a deterministic forecast. Always confirm contract-specific resolution rules on the exchange before trading.
The market close date is set by the exchange and will be shown on the platform; it may close before, on, or after the state primary depending on contract rules. Resolution generally relies on the official certification by Maryland election authorities, so check the market page for the exact close time and resolution criteria.
The winning outcome is the individual officially certified as the Democratic nominee for MD-05 by the relevant election authority for the specified cycle. The market resolves to that certified nominee according to the exchange’s posted resolution rules.
Resolution follows the exchange’s contingency rules. Some contracts resolve to the certified nominee regardless of later changes; others have provisions for replacements or may be voided. Review the contract terms on the market page for how such cases are handled.
Watch candidate filings and withdrawals, major endorsements, fundraising disclosures, polling within the primary electorate, local news about issues or controversies, and any changes to the primary calendar or rules—these events typically prompt rapid market updates.
Use the market as one real‑time signal alongside reporting, official election documents, fundraising tallies, and endorsements. Markets aggregate diverse information quickly, but they do not replace detailed local reporting or official sources; combine them to form a fuller view of the race.