| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donna Miller | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sidney Moore | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Willie Preston | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Robert Peters | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Eric France | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Yumeka Brown | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Patrick Keating | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Toni Brown | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Adal Regis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jesse Jackson Jr. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which individual will become the Democratic nominee for Illinois's 2nd Congressional District (IL-02). The outcome matters because the nominee determines the Democratic candidate on the general-election ballot and shapes local campaign dynamics.
IL-02 is a U.S. House district where primary contests are shaped by local party organization, incumbency status, and community issues; recent cycles have featured both incumbent advantages and competitive primaries when seats are open. Candidate recruitment, endorsements, and turnout in the district’s Democratic primary typically drive who emerges as the nominee. Timing of the primary, retirements, or high-profile entries can quickly change the competitive field.
Market prices reflect the collective assessment of traders based on available information and update as new facts arrive; they are a real-time snapshot of market sentiment rather than a fixed prediction. Use prices alongside reporting on candidate filings, fundraising, endorsements, and official election calendars.
Open the market page to view the current list of named outcomes; the market displays each candidate included and may update the roster if event organizers change it.
'Closes: TBD' means the market has not yet set a final resolution cutoff; the market will typically resolve after an official primary result or when the platform announces a resolution date, so check platform updates and market rules for timing.
The market will resolve according to the contract’s stated resolution source—usually the official certified primary results from the state or county election authorities; consult the specific event rules for the authoritative source and any tie/contingency procedures.
Total volume indicates how much trading activity the market has attracted; higher volume generally implies greater liquidity and more information reflected in prices, while lower volume can mean wider spreads and greater sensitivity to new bets or news.
Resolution treatment depends on the platform’s rules: some contracts void or remove withdrawn/disqualified candidates if changes occur before resolution, others resolve to the officially certified nominee regardless of intermediate withdrawals; check the market’s rules and announcements for the specific resolution policy.