| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Governor | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lieutenant Governor | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Attorney General | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Secretary of State | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Commissioner of Agriculture | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Commissioner of Insurance | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Commissioner of Labor | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| State Superintendent of Schools | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This Kalshi market asks which Georgia elections will be won 'outright'—that is, decided without triggering a runoff. Outcomes matter because runoffs change timing, campaigning, and can alter control of key offices.
Georgia law requires many races to clear a majority threshold to avoid a runoff; when races are close this state has produced high‑profile runoffs that received national attention. The market aggregates traders' and observers' expectations across nine listed outcomes representing individual Georgia contests, providing a real‑time window into how participants expect runoffs (or outright wins) to play out.
Market prices summarize the collective judgment of traders based on available information and will move as new data (polls, early returns, legal developments) arrive. Prices are not guarantees of outcomes but tools for tracking evolving expectations and uncertainty.
In this market, 'won outright' means a candidate for a listed Georgia race secures the level of votes required by state law to avoid a subsequent runoff election; the exact threshold and runoff mechanics are defined by Georgia election statutes.
The event contains nine separate outcomes, each tied to a specific Georgia race listed on the Kalshi event page; consult that page for the current roster of contests and the precise labels used for each outcome.
The market close is listed as TBD on the event; Kalshi will post a definitive closing time on the event page and through its platform notifications—monitor the event page for schedule updates and any administrative announcements.
Late returns and recounts can change whether a race crosses the threshold to avoid a runoff; court challenges to ballots or procedures can delay certification and in some cases alter whether a runoff is required—such developments typically move market prices as traders reassess the likelihood of outright wins.
Reported volume (the cumulative amount traded) indicates liquidity and the level of engagement by participants: higher volume tends to support more robust price discovery, while low volume can mean wider price swings and greater sensitivity to new information.