| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 46 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 49 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 40 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 43 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 34 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 37 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many seats the Social Democrats will win in the upcoming Denmark general election. The party's seat total is a core determinant of who can form a government and set the policy agenda after the vote.
Denmark elects a 179‑member Folketing using proportional representation across multiple constituencies, with two seats reserved for Greenland and two for the Faroe Islands. The Social Democrats are historically one of Denmark's largest parties; their seat outcome depends on national vote share, regional performance, and alliances with other parties.
Market prices aggregate traders' expectations and react in real time to new information such as polls, campaign events, and official counts. Treat prices as a dynamic indicator of market consensus, not a definitive forecast.
It refers to the number of seats the Social Democrats are officially reported to have won in the Folketing in the election outcome used by the market; check the market rules for the exact resolving source.
Resolution timing is determined by the market creator/platform and is typically after official, certified results are published by Danish election authorities; monitor the platform for the stated close and resolution criteria.
No. The market outcome reflects the number of seats won in the election itself, not subsequent coalition formations, ministerial posts, or government agreements.
Most markets that reference the Folketing seat total include seats allocated to Greenland and the Faroe Islands; confirm in the market’s resolution rules whether those seats are counted here.
Major national polling releases, constituency‑level polling, election night provisional counts, official corrections, high‑impact campaign events or scandals, and unexpected turnout shifts tend to drive price movements.