| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eleanor Holmes Norton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Robert White | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brooke Pinto | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kinney Zalesne | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Deirdre Brown | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gordon Chaffin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Greg Maye | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kelly Mikel Williams | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jacque Patterson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Janeese Lewis George | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which candidate will be the Democratic nominee for Washington, D.C.'s U.S. House delegate seat. The nominee selection matters because it determines who will represent D.C.'s interests in Congress and shapes the general-election lineup.
The District of Columbia elects a non-voting House delegate who can sponsor legislation and serve on committees but cannot cast final floor votes; the seat has often been held by a long-serving Democratic incumbent. Nomination is typically decided through the local Democratic primary or party nominating process, and local political dynamics, incumbency, and turnout play outsized roles in determining the nominee.
Market prices reflect traders' aggregated expectations about which individual will be nominated and update as new information arrives; they are not official results and change with campaign developments, endorsements, and official filings.
Resolution will follow the District’s official Democratic nominating mechanism — typically the certified result of the DC Democratic primary or an official party nomination process — as determined by the market operator's rulebook.
Outcome slots generally correspond to individual declared candidates, plus any catch-all options the platform uses (for example, 'Other' or 'No nominee'); listed names typically reflect declared or prominently reported contenders at the time the market was created.
Historically, long-serving incumbents have been re-elected comfortably due to strong name recognition and party dominance in D.C., so an incumbent running for re-nomination often faces lower-risk primary dynamics than an open-seat contest.
Key movers include official campaign filings or withdrawals, major local endorsements, certified fundraising numbers, primary scheduling changes, and credible local polling or news reporting about frontrunners.
If a candidate withdraws or is disqualified, the market operator will follow its stated rules for adjusting outcomes — commonly removing or replacing that candidate's outcome and updating the market; traders should consult the platform’s rules and announcements for specifics.