| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yadira Caraveo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Manny Rutinel | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Amie Baca-Oehlert | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shannon Bird | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| John Szemler | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dave Young | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which candidate will become the Democratic nominee for Colorado's 8th Congressional District. It matters because the nominee will shape the general election contest in a competitive, high-profile seat.
CO-08 is a relatively new and closely watched House district in Colorado created after recent redistricting, attracting a crowded Democratic field and significant local interest. Open or competitive primaries in such districts often draw multiple candidates with varying bases of support, making the nomination process dynamic.
Market odds aggregate traders' views and update as new information arrives; they are best read as the market's current consensus about which candidate is most likely to secure the nomination, not as fixed forecasts.
The market will resolve to the individual officially certified as the Democratic nominee for Colorado's 8th Congressional District according to the state's and party's official certification processes; consult the platform's resolution rules for specifics on timing and edge cases.
Each listed outcome corresponds to a named candidate included in the market at creation; the outcome matching the certified nominee wins, and the platform's rules govern scenarios where an unlisted candidate becomes the nominee.
Six outcomes indicate the market creator included six potential nominees when the market was opened, reflecting the number of candidates considered plausible at that time.
Watch filing and withdrawal deadlines, party endorsement events or conventions, debate dates, major fundraising disclosures, the start of early voting, and significant news or scandal developments—those typically trigger market swings.
Public polling in the district, high-profile endorsements, campaign finance reports, visible organizational gains or losses (field offices, volunteers), and local news stories about candidates tend to drive most movements in this market.