| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Kamlager-Dove | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ryan Duckett | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Baltazar Fedalizo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Elizabeth Fenner | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Steven Hill | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Todd Lombardo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Samantha Mota | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| John Parker | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Juan Rey | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks which candidates will secure a spot in the general election for California's 37th Congressional District following the nonpartisan blanket primary. It serves as an indicator of voter sentiment and candidate viability in one of the state's most densely populated urban districts.
California utilizes a 'top-two' primary system where all candidates, regardless of party affiliation, appear on a single ballot. The two candidates who receive the most votes advance to the general election, even if they share the same party. This district has historically favored the Democratic Party, making the primary a critical stage for determining the eventual representative.
Market prices reflect the aggregate expectation of traders regarding which candidates possess the strongest grassroots support, fundraising momentum, and name recognition.
It means the two candidates with the most votes advance, potentially resulting in a general election matchup between two members of the same political party.
If a candidate officially withdraws from the race, they are generally removed from the ballot, which would render their corresponding outcome in this market ineligible to win.
Unless specifically noted, this market focuses on the major candidates officially listed on the ballot who have met the state's filing requirements.
A winning outcome corresponds to a candidate officially certified as one of the top two vote-getters by the California Secretary of State.
Yes, only the two candidates who secure the most votes will advance to the general election, making them the successful outcomes for this event.