| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Gomez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Loren Colin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Arthur Dixon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Angela Gonzales-Torres | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Calvin Lee | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rob Lucero | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks which candidates will secure a spot in the general election for California's 34th Congressional District following the nonpartisan blanket primary. The outcome determines which individuals move forward to the final ballot, significantly shaping the political representation of this Los Angeles-based district.
California utilizes a 'top-two' primary system where all candidates appear on a single ballot regardless of party affiliation. The two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary advance to the general election, which can result in two members of the same party facing off. This district is known for being a deeply Democratic stronghold, often leading to competitive intra-party dynamics.
Market prices reflect the collective assessment of which candidates possess the strongest campaign infrastructure, fundraising capacity, and voter alignment to finish among the top two contenders.
It allows all candidates to run on one ballot; the two highest vote-getters advance to the general election, regardless of their party registration.
No, this market specifically tracks who qualifies for the general election ballot, not who eventually wins the seat in the final round of voting.
The district covers central Los Angeles, including areas like Downtown LA, Boyle Heights, and parts of Koreatown.
If a candidate withdraws or is disqualified, they remain ineligible for the 'advance' outcome in this market.
The market identifies the primary candidates most likely to secure the two available slots, providing traders a way to bet on specific individuals advancing.