| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GLM | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kimi | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Claude | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Qwen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dola | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Grok | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ChatGPT | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gemini | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which coding-focused AI will be judged the "Best Coding AI this week" and aggregates trader expectations about short-term leaderboards and community sentiment. It matters because it highlights which models, releases, or demos are drawing the most attention and perceived superiority in a narrow time window.
Weekly competitions, benchmark updates, community-led comparisons, and high-profile demos frequently shift perceptions of which coding model is best; the short horizon makes this market sensitive to rapid changes like bug fixes or surprise releases. Historically, weekly or short-duration assessments favor models with fresh demonstrated wins, strong developer tools, or viral demonstrations rather than long-term research reputations.
Market prices reflect the crowd’s assessment of which outcome is most likely to be selected at resolution and should be read as a consensus signal rather than a certainty. Use those signals together with direct evidence — recent benchmarks, release notes, and community reaction — when forming a view.
Resolution follows the market’s published rules on the KALSHI event page; that description specifies the adjudication method (panel, leaderboard, community vote, or other) and any eligibility criteria that determine which outcome is declared the winner.
The eight outcomes are the distinct options shown on the event page; outcome labels and options can only be modified according to KALSHI’s platform rules prior to a formal close, so check the live market page for the definitive list and any announced changes.
"Closes: TBD" indicates no firm closing time has been announced yet; trading may continue until the platform sets a close or an explicit resolution window; settlement will occur after the market’s stated adjudication moment as described in the event rules.
Total volume is a snapshot of market activity and liquidity; relatively low volume means prices can move more on individual trades and signals may be noisier, while higher volume generally corresponds to greater confidence in the crowd signal, though volume alone does not determine correctness.
A mid-week release can influence outcomes if the market’s resolution criteria allow that model to be considered; sudden releases often shift trader sentiment and can materially affect which outcome the market ultimately selects, so monitor eligibility rules and announcements.