| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ChatGPT | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Claude | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Grok | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dola | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Qwen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Amazon Nova | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of seven named AI systems or providers will be judged the "Best AI" during a specified week; it aggregates trader expectations about short-term performance, announcements, or attention. It matters because it highlights which technologies or companies are most likely to stand out in a rapidly changing AI landscape.
Listed on KALSHI under Science & Technology, this contract offers seven mutually exclusive outcomes and currently shows no trading volume; the market's close time is not yet announced. Weekly "best AI" markets typically hinge on product demos, benchmark results, publicity, or significant deployment news that can arrive on short notice. Because AI development and media cycles move quickly, outcomes can shift meaningfully over a few days.
Market odds reflect the collective expectation of traders about which outcome will prevail given available information; movements in odds encode new developments, announcements, or data. With the close time labeled TBD, interpret odds as conditional on the yet-to-be-specified settlement window and watch for updates to the market's timeline or settlement rules.
The contract asks traders to select which of the seven listed AI options will be judged the winner during the specified weekly window; the precise winning criteria and data sources are defined in the contract description and settlement rules on the market page.
The trading window and settlement period will be defined once KALSHI posts a close time; until then, treat the event as open-ended and monitor the market page and official announcements for the exact calendar dates that determine the week.
Settlement is performed according to the contract’s published adjudication procedure—typically KALSHI’s staff or an external data source specified on the contract page—so check that settlement clause to see which evidence or sources will be used.
Each outcome should map to a specific named model, product, or provider listed on the market page; review the outcome labels and any linked descriptions to understand which real-world entity each outcome represents and whether multiple models from the same organization are grouped.
Zero volume means there has been no recent trading activity, so current prices (if present) may reflect initial quotes rather than broad consensus; low liquidity can produce large price swings when new trades arrive, so manage position size, consider potential slippage, and watch for a buildup in volume before taking large positions.