| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Fuller | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tom Gray | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Colton Moore | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brian Stover | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nicky Lama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shawn Harris | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Star Black | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jim Tully | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rob Ruszkowski | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Megahn Strickland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which candidate will finish second in the first round of the Georgia 14th Congressional District special election — a key intermediate outcome because it determines who advances if no candidate wins a majority. It matters to traders and observers because a second-place finish can change the runoff dynamics and national attention on the race.
The GA-14 special election is a nonstandard, single-ballot special election to fill a vacancy; Georgia practice is that all candidates appear on one ballot and, if no one receives a majority, the top two finishers advance to a runoff. Special elections for open seats often feature crowded fields, making vote-splitting and name recognition especially important. This market lists up to ten named outcomes and has attracted modest trading volume, which affects liquidity and price responsiveness.
Market prices reflect the aggregate beliefs of traders about who will finish second and update as new information arrives; with modest volume, prices can move sharply on new news or trades. Use prices as a real-time signal of changing expectations, not as definitive predictions of final certification.
The market's outcomes correspond to the specific candidates that the market operator listed for the GA-14 first round; check the market page for the up-to-date list of the ten named outcomes.
The market closure and resolution timeline are set by the market operator and typically align with official election results or certification; a 'TBD' close means the operator will announce the resolution criteria and timing once election scheduling or certification details are finalized.
'2nd place' is determined by the official first-round vote tallies as certified by Georgia election authorities; in close or tied cases state law provisions (recounts, tie procedures) govern the outcome and the market resolves according to the operator's published rules.
A second-place finish typically means advancing to a runoff against the first-place finisher (if no one won a majority), which redirects campaign strategy toward a two-person contest and can increase fundraising, national attention, and targeted turnout efforts.
Movers include late polling, major endorsements or withdrawals, significant ad buys or spending reports, turnout and early-voting returns, legal developments, and local or national news that shifts voter preferences; low liquidity can magnify price moves from single large trades.