| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Newsom | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pete Buttigieg | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Josh Shapiro | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kamala Harris | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Wes Moore | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stephen A. Smith | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gretchen Whitmer | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Andy Beshear | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| J.B. Pritzker | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| J.D. Vance | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Donald J. Trump | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Marco Rubio | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Glenn Youngkin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Donald J. Trump Jr. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nikki Haley | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ron DeSantis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Greg Abbott | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tim Walz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jamie Dimon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jon Ossoff | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mark Kelly | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tucker Carlson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market aggregates trader expectations about who will be declared the winner of the 2028 U.S. presidential election; it matters because it consolidates dispersed information and reacts to new developments in real time.
The U.S. presidential contest is decided through state-level elections and the Electoral College, with nomination contests, conventions, and general-election campaigns shaping the final field. This market reflects broad interest — including $15,713,610 in volume traded and 24 listed outcomes — and will evolve as primaries, debates, economic news, and unexpected events occur.
Market prices should be read as the collective, continuously updated assessment of traders, not as immutable predictions; they summarize how current public information and sentiment are being weighted by market participants.
The outcomes typically cover specific named candidates, third-party or independent winners, and conditional scenarios defined by the market (for example, named candidate X wins, or candidate Y wins via contingent procedures); check the market’s outcome list for exact wording.
The listed close time is currently TBD; the market operator sets the official close and may update it. Until the market closes, traders can buy and sell outcomes and prices will continue to respond to new information.
Primary results and convention nominations reduce uncertainty by clarifying the candidate field; as front-runners secure nominations or delegates, related outcomes in this market usually update quickly to reflect the narrower set of plausible winners.
Settlement follows the market’s official rules: for a U.S. presidential winner market, that generally means the outcome is determined by the officially certified winner as defined in the market description (often the Electoral College result and subsequent federal/state certifications); review the event’s settlement rules for the precise criterion.
Large moves reflect traders rapidly incorporating new information and reweighting risks; some moves capture durable shifts in fundamentals, while others are short-term reactions—watch subsequent price behavior and related news to judge persistence.