| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gavin Newsom v. Marco Rubio | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| AOC v. JD Vance | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| AOC v. Marco Rubio | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jon Ossoff v. JD Vance | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jon Ossoff v. Marco Rubio | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Josh Shapiro v. JD Vance | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Josh Shapiro v. Marco Rubio | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kamala Harris v. JD Vance | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kamala Harris v. Marco Rubio | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pete Buttigieg v. JD Vance | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pete Buttigieg v. Marco Rubio | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Andy Beshear v. JD Vance | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Andy Beshear v. Marco Rubio | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| James Talarico v. JD Vance | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| James Talarico v. Marco Rubio | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official nominees representing the major political parties in the 2028 U.S. Presidential election. It serves as a centralized gauge for market participants to aggregate expectations regarding future political candidacy.
The 2028 cycle follows a period of significant political realignment and leadership transitions within both major parties. As incumbents reach term limits or depart, the primary process becomes a critical juncture for voters and donors to influence party direction. Historical precedents suggest that early frontrunners often face unexpected challenges from emerging figures or primary upsets.
Market prices represent the collective wisdom of participants reflecting the perceived likelihood of specific individuals securing their party's nomination.
The official nominee is the candidate who formally secures the party's nomination at the respective National Convention.
This market specifically tracks the major party matchups; third-party candidates generally do not impact the core nomination outcomes for the two primary parties.
If a candidate withdraws, the market price will adjust to reflect their removal and the subsequent shift in standing for the remaining contenders.
Yes, midterm results often highlight rising stars and influence party leadership, which frequently reshapes the perceived field for the following presidential cycle.
The 16 outcomes represent the most likely combinations of potential nominees based on current political visibility and institutional support.