| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Oliver | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Spike Cohen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michael Rectenwald | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Larry Sharpe | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dave Smith | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jacob Hornberger | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lars Mapstead | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jo Jorgensen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Justin Amash | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Joshua Smith | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gary Johnson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks who will secure the Libertarian Party's nomination for President of the United States in the 2028 election. As the third-largest political party in the U.S., the Libertarian nominee often influences national discourse and swing-state electoral outcomes.
The Libertarian Party typically selects its nominee through a delegate-based process at its National Convention, favoring candidates who align with principles of minimal government intervention, individual liberty, and free-market economics. Unlike the major parties, the Libertarian process can be highly unpredictable, often involving multiple rounds of balloting and dark-horse contenders. Historically, the party seeks figures who can balance ideological purity with the desire for greater national visibility.
The market prices reflect the collective anticipation of which individuals will gain enough support from party delegates to officially represent the Libertarian ticket.
The nominee is selected by delegates at the Libertarian National Convention, where a candidate must secure a majority of the votes cast.
Shares in a candidate who withdraws from consideration generally lose their value, as they are no longer eligible to receive the nomination.
The party typically relies on a delegate-based convention system rather than state-run primary elections to determine its nominee.
The nomination process typically culminates at the party's National Convention, usually held in the spring or early summer of the election year.
Yes, 'dark-horse' candidates or floor nominees can emerge during the convention, meaning the eventual nominee may not currently be a frontrunner.