| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market bundles outcomes from the 2026 Democratic Senate primaries into a single 'combo' contract, offering a way to trade collective probabilities for those primary results. It matters because combo markets aggregate expectations across multiple races and can reflect both national trends and state-level dynamics.
The 2026 Senate cycle will include multiple Democratic-held and open seats that shape the Senate majority contest heading into the general election. Historical patterns—such as the advantages of incumbency, the impact of presidential approval on down-ballot races, and fundraising/polling trajectories—help contextualize how primaries unfold and which candidates gain traction. Combo markets simplify multiple outcomes into one tradable instrument, capturing how traders collectively view those interconnected contests.
Market prices on this contract summarize the consensus view of traders at a given moment but are not guarantees of final outcomes; prices move as new information arrives. Treat prices as real-time indicators of market expectations and update them with polling, endorsements, and candidate changes when forming your own view.
The combo aggregates multiple individual Democratic Senate primary outcomes into one contract; the market page or rules will list which states/races are included and the exact resolution criteria.
Close timing is set by the market operator and may be tied to relevant primary dates; check the Kalshi market page for the official close time because it can differ based on included states or administrative rules.
Resolution follows the market’s posted rules—typically based on official certified results or the operator’s stated contingencies—so consult the market description for policies on postponements, cancellations, or candidate changes.
Price moves in a combo reflect aggregated news across multiple races; a single surprise in one state may move the combo less than it would move a single-race market, because the combo spreads the impact across all bundled contests.
Monitor state-level polling, fundraising reports and FEC filings, major endorsements, incumbent retirement announcements, candidate entry/exit, and national indicators like presidential approval or party momentum—each can materially affect primary dynamics within the combo.