| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ghana | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| England | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Croatia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on which team will finish top of World Cup Group L; it matters because group winners advance with advantages in the tournament bracket and because markets aggregate expectations about team performance.
Group L is one of the group-stage pools in the World Cup, composed of four national teams competing in round-robin play. Outcomes reflect final standings after all Group L matches are played; the market on KALSHI currently lists four outcomes, has recorded $2,519 in total volume traded, and the close time is listed as TBD.
Market odds represent the trading consensus about which team is most likely to finish first given available information; they update as new information (match results, injuries, lineup news) becomes public and should be read as a real-time summary of market beliefs rather than a guarantee.
There are four outcomes corresponding to the four national teams placed in Group L; each outcome wins if that team finishes first in the official final Group L standings as determined by the tournament organizer.
The market close time is listed as TBD; settlement will occur after all Group L matches are completed and the tournament organizer publishes the official final group standings, following the exchange's settlement rules.
If two or more teams finish level on points, the tournament's official tiebreaker procedures (commonly goal difference, goals scored, head-to-head results, disciplinary points, and ultimately drawing of lots) determine the final ranking, and the exchange will follow the organizer's certified standings for settlement.
Key price-moving events include match results for Group L, surprise injuries or suspensions to key players, announced starting lineups, sudden managerial changes, and late-breaking travel or health issues affecting squads.
Total volume shows cumulative money traded and gives a rough sense of liquidity and participant interest; with four outcomes, liquidity is split across each team—lower volume can mean wider spreads and greater price sensitivity to new information, while higher volume generally improves tradability.