| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | — | $3.6M | Trade → |
| Daniel Berger | 44% | 43¢ | 44¢ | — | $1.8M | Trade → |
| Ludvig Aberg | 9% | 8¢ | 9¢ | — | $1.6M | Trade → |
| Collin Morikawa | 10% | 9¢ | 10¢ | — | $1.5M | Trade → |
| Rory McIlroy | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | — | $1.3M | Trade → |
| Cameron Young | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $1.1M | Trade → |
| Chris Gotterup | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $849K | Trade → |
| Jordan Spieth | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $754K | Trade → |
| Xander Schauffele | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | — | $674K | Trade → |
| Akshay Bhatia | 7% | 6¢ | 7¢ | — | $659K | Trade → |
| Adam Scott | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $608K | Trade → |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $571K | Trade → |
| Jhonattan Vegas | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $555K | Trade → |
| Rickie Fowler | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | — | $552K | Trade → |
| Sahith Theegala | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | — | $547K | Trade → |
| Nicolas Echavarria | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $541K | Trade → |
| Si Woo Kim | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $508K | Trade → |
| Viktor Hovland | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $504K | Trade → |
| Min Woo Lee | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $479K | Trade → |
| Jacob Bridgeman | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $454K | Trade → |
| Keith Mitchell | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $444K | Trade → |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $416K | Trade → |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $400K | Trade → |
| Kurt Kitayama | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $400K | Trade → |
| Shane Lowry | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $394K | Trade → |
| Jake Knapp | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $334K | Resolved |
| Sepp Straka | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $329K | Trade → |
| Michael Thorbjornsen | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $318K | Trade → |
| Russell Henley | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | — | $267K | Trade → |
| Corey Conners | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $259K | Trade → |
| Harris English | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $245K | Trade → |
| Ryan Fox | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $233K | Trade → |
| Nicolai Hojgaard | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $209K | Trade → |
| Justin Rose | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $182K | Trade → |
| Justin Thomas | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $177K | Trade → |
| Ryo Hisatsune | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $159K | Trade → |
| Nick Taylor | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $153K | Trade → |
| Jason Day | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $145K | Trade → |
| Max Greyserman | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $139K | Trade → |
| Maverick McNealy | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $135K | Trade → |
| Bud Cauley | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $106K | Trade → |
| Keegan Bradley | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $102K | Trade → |
| Aldrich Potgieter | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $95K | Trade → |
| Michael Kim | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $81K | Trade → |
| Pierceson Coody | 1% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $72K | Trade → |
| Patrick Cantlay | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $71K | Trade → |
| Ben Griffin | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $64K | Trade → |
| Robert MacIntyre | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $58K | Trade → |
| Joel Dahmen | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $49K | Trade → |
| Austin Smotherman | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $47K | Trade → |
| Sam Burns | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $47K | Resolved |
| Alex Noren | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $44K | Trade → |
| Ryan Gerard | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $40K | Trade → |
| Sungjae Im | 1% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $37K | Trade → |
| J.J. Spaun | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $28K | Trade → |
| Chris Kirk | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $23K | Trade → |
| Billy Horschel | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $22K | Trade → |
| Taylor Moore | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $20K | Trade → |
| Denny McCarthy | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $16K | Trade → |
| Taylor Pendrith | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $15K | Trade → |
| Sam Stevens | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $14K | Trade → |
| Andrew Novak | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $11K | Trade → |
| Brian Harman | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| Tom Hoge | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| Andrew Putnam | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| Matthew McCarty | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Brian Campbell | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Hao-Tong Li | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Resolved |
| Lucas Glover | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| J.T. Poston | 1% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Patrick Rodgers | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Harry Hall | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Daniel Bennett | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $632 | Trade → |
This market allows participants to predict the winner of the Arnold Palmer Invitational, one of the most prestigious events on the PGA Tour. It serves as a sentiment-driven indicator for which professional golfers are favored to succeed at Bay Hill Club & Lodge.
The Arnold Palmer Invitational is an 'elevated' event held annually in Orlando, Florida, known for its challenging layout and association with golf legend Arnold Palmer. The tournament consistently attracts a high-caliber field, making it a critical stop for players looking to earn points toward the FedEx Cup. Victory here is considered a career-defining achievement due to the event's storied history and the tradition of the winner receiving a signature red cardigan.
Market prices represent the collective estimation of the field's likelihood of winning; higher prices indicate a higher consensus that a specific player will secure the title.
The Arnold Palmer Invitational is a standard 72-hole stroke play event, meaning the player with the lowest aggregate score after four rounds wins.
If a player withdraws prior to the start of the tournament, shares in that outcome will typically settle based on the rules governing void or loss depending on the specific exchange terms.
Historically, long hitters who can navigate the course's thick rough and precision iron players who can hit small, firm greens tend to perform best here.
As an elevated event, the field is limited to top-ranked professionals, typically featuring many of the top players in the Official World Golf Ranking.
The market resolves once the final round concludes and the official tournament winner is declared, typically on Sunday afternoon, assuming no playoffs are required.