| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cape Verde | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Uruguay | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Spain | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on which team will finish top of World Cup Group H. It matters because finishing first determines the opponent in the first knockout round and reflects which team advances with the strongest group-stage result.
World Cup group stages consist of four-team round-robin pools where each team plays the others once, with standard 3-1-0 points for win-draw-loss. The identity and balance of Group H change each tournament, but the group-winner slot consistently carries competitive and strategic importance for knockout bracket placement.
Market prices aggregate traders' views and public information; movements typically respond to results, injuries, and other news. Lower trading volume can mean wider spreads and slower incorporation of new information, while higher activity tends to produce more stable prices.
The market close is listed as TBD by the platform; the Group H winner is officially determined after all group-stage matches are completed and FIFA publishes the final standings, following standard tiebreakers.
Each outcome corresponds to one of the four teams in Group H finishing first in the group at the end of the group stage; the winning outcome is the team declared group winner by the official tournament standings.
Resolution follows the tournament's published tiebreaker rules (typically head-to-head points, goal difference, goals scored, etc.); the outcome that the official standings list as first after applying those tiebreakers will resolve as the winner.
Yes — any changes to the schedule or official results that alter final standings can affect the market; resolution will follow the tournament organizer’s official rulings and the platform’s stated resolution policies.
Pre-tournament factors set an initial baseline, but in-tournament events (match results, injuries, suspensions, and tactical changes) typically have the largest impact on chances as the group progresses; adjust positions as new, verifiable information is released.