| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Australia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Paraguay | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Slovakia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Kosovo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Turkiye | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Romania | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
This market settles on which team finishes first in World Cup Group D; the group winner determines seeding and qualification into the knockout stage, so the outcome matters for tournament paths and odds in subsequent matches.
World Cup group stages are typically round-robin pools where each team plays the others once and is ranked by points, with tie-breakers applied if needed. Historically, group outcomes can reflect pre-tournament expectations but are frequently influenced by form, injuries, scheduling, and late events that make them harder to predict far in advance. For this market, the precise teams, schedule, and match order will shape how the group plays out.
Market prices reflect aggregate trader sentiment about which team will finish top of Group D and update as new information arrives; treat them as a live signal that complements but does not replace match reports, official tournament rules, and team news.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific labeled result on the market page — typically one outcome per candidate team expected to win the group plus any additional special outcomes the contract includes (for example, a cancellation or 'no result' option). Check the market’s outcome labels on the platform for the exact mapping.
Tie-breakers for group ranking are set by the tournament organizer and commonly proceed through head-to-head points, goal difference, goals scored, and then further criteria such as fair-play points or drawing of lots; the market will resolve based on the official tournament standings and the organizer’s published tie-break rules.
Yes — if a team achieves a points and tie-break advantage that no other team can overcome, they secure first place early. Market prices will typically react to that development; settlement will still follow the official final standings as posted by the tournament organizer.
'Closes: TBD' indicates the market’s official trading deadline has not been fixed on the platform yet; until a close is posted you may be able to place or adjust positions per the platform’s trading window, but check the market page regularly for updates and any posted settlement rules or cut-off times.
Total volume traded shows how much money has flowed through the market so far and is a measure of liquidity and interest; higher volume usually means tighter prices and easier execution, but volume alone does not guarantee the market’s accuracy in picking the eventual group winner.