| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Korea Republic | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| South Africa | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Denmark | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Ireland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Czechia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| North Macedonia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
This market asks which team will finish top of World Cup Group A; the group winner affects knockout-stage matchups and can change a team’s path through the tournament.
Group-stage placement reflects recent form, squad strength, and short-term factors like injuries and match schedule. Historically, winning a World Cup group confers tactical advantage by pairing the winner with a runner-up from another group, and past tournaments show that group dynamics can shift rapidly over three matchdays.
Market prices reflect traders’ aggregated expectations about which team will finish first in Group A and update as information (results, lineups, injuries) becomes available.
This market lists seven outcomes in total; each outcome corresponds to an entry shown on the market page and should be checked there for exact team names or special options.
The market close time is listed as TBD; settlement will occur after all Group A matches are completed and official standings are confirmed by the tournament organizer, following any applicable tie-break procedures.
Final group rankings follow the tournament’s official tie-break rules: goal difference and goals scored across all group matches, then head-to-head results among tied teams, followed by disciplinary points and, if necessary, drawing of lots as specified by the competition rules.
Match order can create advantages if a team plays weaker opponents earlier or benefits from extra rest; travel and recovery time between fixtures influence player fitness and coach selection, which can affect short-term performance across the three matchdays.
Late injuries, suspensions (including yellow-card accumulation rules), and final lineup choices can materially change expectations, so traders typically update positions after official squad announcements and matchday injury reports; the market will reflect those updates as participants react.