| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Great Britain | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Japan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Mexico | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Brazil | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Cuba | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Israel | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Australia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Panama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Colombia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Netherlands | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Puerto Rico | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| United States | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nicaragua | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Italy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dominican Republic | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Korea | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Canada | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Chinese Taipei | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Czechia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Venezuela | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which national team will win the next World Baseball Classic and matters because it aggregates public expectations about an international, high-stakes baseball tournament featuring professional players from around the world.
The World Baseball Classic is an international tournament first held in 2006 and contested by national teams with many players drawn from major professional leagues. Its outcomes depend on short-series play, roster composition, and the availability of top professional talent; past editions have produced surprise results due to the tournament’s compressed format and pitch-count rules.
Market prices reflect the collective view of traders about each team’s chance to win and will move as new information (roster announcements, injuries, schedule changes) arrives; use prices as a real-time signal of changing expectations rather than fixed predictions.
The market settles on the team officially declared tournament champion by the World Baseball Classic organizers and recorded in the official final standings; that official championship result is used for settlement.
Roster announcements provide concrete information about player availability and depth, which can materially change market expectations; significant additions or withdrawals typically drive quick price adjustments as traders reassess team strength.
They are a major factor: availability of elite MLB players, especially frontline starting pitchers and closers, can swing perceived team strength because club policies and player decisions determine who actually suits up for each national team.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific national team offered by the platform; the set of listed teams reflects the market operator’s choices—if a team you expect is missing, consult the market page or platform support for explanations or requests for additional outcomes.
The market’s closing time is listed as TBD; the platform (KALSHI) will publish the official close time and the rulebook that governs settlement and dispute resolution—check the market page and KALSHI’s terms for final details.