| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominican Republic | 70% | 68¢ | 70¢ | — | $12K | Trade → |
| Venezuela | 33% | 28¢ | 32¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Israel | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Nicaragua | 4% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Netherlands | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $252 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on which national team will finish first in Pool D of the World Baseball Classic. It matters because pool winners advance in the tournament and the market aggregates real-time information about team strength and developments.
Pool D refers to one of the round‑robin groups in the World Baseball Classic, where national teams face each other and the top team advances to the next stage. Outcomes in WBC pools are shaped by roster construction and short‑series variance, and small events (an injury, a pitching day) can materially change which team emerges on top.
Market odds represent the collective assessment of participants given available information and will update as new data (roster news, game results, injuries) appears; they are informational signals rather than guarantees. When using odds, also consider market liquidity and how recently key developments occurred.
The market lists the specific national teams that have been placed into Pool D for the current WBC cycle; consult the market page or official World Baseball Classic sources for the up‑to‑date list of participating teams.
This market will settle after the tournament organizers officially declare the Pool D winner following completion of all scheduled pool games and any applied tie‑breaking procedures. Check the exchange's event rules and the WBC's official results for the exact settlement trigger.
If teams finish with identical win‑loss records, tournament tie‑breaker rules (which can include head‑to‑head results and run‑differential or runs‑allowed metrics per the WBC rulebook) determine the official pool ranking; markets follow the official tournament determination when settling.
Watch official roster announcements, last‑minute player availability updates (particularly MLB pitcher opt‑ins/opt‑outs), announced starting pitchers for each game, injury reports, and any schedule changes or postponements that affect rest and pitcher usage.
Handling depends on the exchange's contingency and settlement policies and on the WBC's official decisions; typically the market will wait for an official determination by tournament organizers and the exchange before settling or may be adjusted per platform rules—consult Kalshi's event policy for specifics.