| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 7% | 7¢ | 8¢ | — | $15K | Trade → |
| Italy | 35% | 31¢ | 35¢ | — | $12K | Trade → |
| Mexico | 57% | 58¢ | 62¢ | — | $11K | Trade → |
| Great Britain | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $956 | Trade → |
| Brazil | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $254 | Trade → |
This market lets traders bet on which national team will finish first in Pool B of the World Baseball Classic. It matters because the Pool B winner advances in the tournament and market prices capture collective expectations about team strength and short-term developments.
The World Baseball Classic begins with round-robin pool play; each pool’s top finisher advances to the knockout stage. Pool B’s outcome depends on a compact schedule, roster availability (including MLB player participation), and short-term form; past WBC tournaments have produced both favorites and surprise pool winners.
Market prices reflect traders’ aggregated expectations and update as new information arrives; they are best interpreted as a real-time consensus signal rather than a definitive prediction.
The winner is determined once Pool B’s official standings are finalized by the World Baseball Classic organizers after all pool games (and any required tie-breakers) are completed; the exchange will resolve the market based on that official result and may publish a final close time when available.
The five outcomes correspond to the five national teams listed on this market’s event page; check the market listing on the exchange for the exact team names and outcome labels.
Resolution follows the World Baseball Classic’s official tie-breaker procedures (run differential, head-to-head, or other tournament rules) as applied by the event organizers; the market will use the organizer’s official determination when resolving the winning outcome.
Key movers include announced roster changes or MLB withdrawals, reported injuries to key pitchers or hitters, unexpected game results during pool play, and changes to starting pitching assignments or bullpen availability.
Treat official roster and injury updates as high-value information: large additions or withdrawals can materially change a team’s championship prospects, so monitor national team announcements, trusted media and league reports, and adjust positions before games start when possible.