| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before May 1, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Mike Tyson and Floyd Mayweather will hold a boxing bout before May. It matters because a confirmed fight would require coordinated agreements among fighters, promoters, regulators, and broadcasters and would have outsized commercial and publicity implications.
Both Tyson and Mayweather are high-profile, largely retired champions who have participated in exhibition events and one-off matches in recent years. Promoters, athletic commissions, broadcast partners, fighters' health and training status, and contractual negotiations all shape the feasibility of staging a cross-generational bout. Because both names drive strong ticket and pay-per-view interest, commercial willingness to finance and promote an event is a major determinant.
Market prices reflect the trading community’s real-time assessment of how likely the bout is to occur before the cutoff and change as new information appears. Treat prices as a snapshot of market consensus rather than a definitive prediction or guarantee.
Whether an exhibition counts depends on the market’s official settlement terms; typically the market will require a publicly verifiable bout between Tyson and Mayweather under agreed rules before the cutoff, whether labeled an 'exhibition' or 'bout', but consult the contract language for the definitive standard.
The precise cutoff (time and timezone) will be defined in the market’s contract; "before May" is commonly interpreted as any time prior to the first minute of May 1 in the market’s settlement timezone, but you should verify the exact timestamp on the market page because this event lists the close as TBD.
Settlement typically relies on verifiable public records such as official bout announcements, event tickets and venue schedules, broadcast or streaming records, athletic-commission fight cards, and reputable media confirmation; the market will follow its published resolution criteria.
It depends on whether the session meets the market’s definition of a bout (publicly scheduled, sanctioned, and between the two fighters in a competitive setting). Casual or private appearances that are not formalized as a fight usually do not meet settlement standards.
Key obstacles include medical or age-related clearance issues, failure to reach contractual terms (purse, revenue split, or promotional obligations), lack of regulatory sanctioning or licensing, insufficient lead time for promotion and venue booking, and disagreements among stakeholders or broadcasters over financial arrangements.