| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Lionel Messi will play in the World Cup; it matters because his participation would affect match outcomes, team strategy, media attention, and related markets.
Messi is one of the sport's most influential players with a long international career and multiple World Cup appearances. Questions about his participation usually hinge on squad selection, fitness, retirement intentions, and club-season workload as tournaments approach.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of participants based on public information and change as new facts (roster announcements, injuries, official statements) emerge; check the contract's resolution rules to understand exactly which evidence will determine the result.
Resolution normally depends on official match records: 'play' usually means entering the field of play in at least one World Cup match. The definitive definition is the contract's resolution text, so review the market rules for precise criteria.
Resolution timing follows the contract terms; it often resolves after the tournament ends or after official match reports are available. Because this market's close is TBD, check the platform's stated resolution procedure for exact timing.
Being in the squad but remaining on the bench typically does not count as 'playing.' The market will resolve according to the contract's definition, which usually requires actual participation in a match as recorded by the official match report.
Such updates provide new information that participants use to update expectations, so market prices can move quickly after official medical bulletins, club release statements, or coach announcements about selection or fitness.
A retirement announcement that makes him unavailable would be directly relevant and typically lead to the market resolving against 'play' per the contract rules; the exact impact and timing depend on how the market defines availability and the official timing of the announcement.