| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Cristiano Ronaldo will play in the World Cup, a binary outcome that matters for fans, team strategy, and market participants tracking star-player impact on tournament dynamics.
Ronaldo is one of the most prominent footballers of his generation with multiple prior World Cup appearances; decisions about his participation typically involve fitness, selection by the national team coach, and personal plans. His age, club workload, and any recent injuries or public statements influence expectations but the final determination is whether he actually appears on the field during the tournament.
Market prices reflect traders' collective expectations and will move as new information (squad announcements, injury reports, official confirmations) arrives; use prices as a real-time signal of sentiment while remembering settlement is based on the market's official event definition.
Most market contracts define 'play' as appearing on the field during an official World Cup match; being named to a squad but remaining unused on the bench typically does not count. Consult the market's official settlement rules for the precise definition used here.
When the question refers to 'the World Cup' it generally means the final tournament matches organized by the competition's governing body; qualifiers and friendlies are usually excluded. Verify the event listing to confirm which matches the contract treats as relevant.
Settlement typically relies on authoritative, published match reports from the tournament organizer (for example FIFA) or other specified official sources noted in the market rules. The event page will list the official sources or arbitration process if disputes arise.
Such developments do not directly settle the market — they change the likelihood that he will play and therefore influence trading — but final settlement depends on whether he actually appears on the field in a counted match, per the event's rules.
The event currently lists the close as TBD; typically markets like this close before the tournament begins or at a platform-specified cutoff. Check the KALSHI event page for the official close time once it is posted.