| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| any man other than Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether any man other than Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner will win at least one ATP Grand Slam singles title in 2026. It matters because it gauges market expectations about whether the 2026 men’s majors will be exclusively won by those two players or include other champions.
Grand Slam tournaments are the four highest-profile events on the men’s tennis calendar: the Australian Open, Roland Garros (French Open), Wimbledon, and the US Open. Recent years have seen periods of concentrated dominance by a small group of top players, making markets like this a way to track whether that pattern is expected to continue or break in the coming season. Player form, injuries, and the emergence of new contenders all shape the outlook for any given year.
Market prices reflect the aggregated views of traders and update as new information (injuries, results, draws) arrives; use them as a real-time signal of collective expectations rather than a definitive forecast. Remember that prices can move quickly around major events and announcements.
A 'Yes' is any result in which at least one ATP men’s singles Grand Slam title in 2026 is won by a male player who is not Carlos Alcaraz or Jannik Sinner.
A 'No' means that across all four 2026 Grand Slam men’s singles events, the only winners are Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner (i.e., no other man wins any of the four majors).
The market refers to the four 2026 men’s singles Grand Slam tournaments: the Australian Open, Roland Garros (French Open), Wimbledon, and the US Open. Only the official men's singles champions of those events are considered.
No. Only the winners of the men’s singles draws at the four Grand Slams in 2026 are relevant to settlement of this market.
The market closing time is listed on the Kalshi event page and may be set ahead of the first 2026 Grand Slam; if a tournament is postponed or cancelled, settlement will follow Kalshi’s official market rules and announcements, so check the listing and platform FAQ for final procedures.