| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2030 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether a professional basketball team based in Seattle will play a game at any point before 2030. It matters because the outcome reflects decisions about league expansion, relocation, local investment, and scheduling of professional basketball events in Seattle.
Historically Seattle hosted the NBA SuperSonics until their relocation in 2008; since then there have been ongoing efforts and discussion about bringing top-tier men's professional basketball back, while Seattle currently hosts an active WNBA franchise and other basketball events. Arena capacity, ownership interest, and league priorities have driven milestones in the city's pro-basketball trajectory and remain central to future developments.
Market prices aggregate participants' beliefs about whether the event will occur given available information; prices can move as concrete developments (for example, franchise announcements or scheduled games) happen. Always consult the market's official rules to understand exactly which games and leagues are counted.
That depends on the market's official outcome definition; some markets specify which leagues qualify. Check the event's official rules to see whether WNBA games are included or whether the market intends only certain leagues.
Whether preseason, exhibition, or neutral-site games count is determined by the event rules; markets sometimes require regular-season or official competitive games, so consult the posted definition for what types of games qualify.
Most plain-language interpretations would treat a relocated franchise playing a home game in Seattle as a qualifying event, but you should verify the market's exact wording to confirm how relocation is handled.
Markets define cutoffs in their event specifications, including the exact date and time zone; look at the market's rules page to confirm whether 'before 2030' means any time on or before December 31, 2029 and which time zone applies.
The market's event page or linked rulebook contains the authoritative definitions and list of included leagues and game types; consult that documentation for the final determination rather than relying on informal interpretations.