| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Bryson DeChambeau combined | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of the three listed outcomes will win more major tournaments during the calendar year; it matters because it aggregates traders' expectations about comparative season-long performance among the contenders.
Major tournaments are the highest-profile events in a sport and typically determine a player’s season legacy and ranking points. Markets that compare who will win the most majors turn single-event forecasting into a season-long contest, capturing effects of entries, injuries, and form across multiple high-stakes events.
Market prices reflect the collective assessment of which contender is most likely to finish with the most major wins; prices update as new information (injuries, entries, results) arrives and should be read as a dynamic consensus rather than a guarantee.
The market uses the sport’s established list of tournaments designated as majors for the calendar year; the exchange’s event description or rulebook page lists which specific events will count for settlement.
Settlement timing is tied to the conclusion of the season’s final major; because the market close is listed as TBD, check the event page and exchange announcements for the official close and settlement timeline.
Tie resolution follows the exchange’s published settlement rules for this event; consult the market rules on the event page to see whether ties result in multiple winning outcomes, voided contracts, or another resolution method.
Traders price in new information as it emerges: withdrawals and injuries typically shift expectations because they change the number of reachable majors and the competitor pool; monitor official entry lists and injury reports for the most impactful updates.
This market’s three outcomes correspond to the named contenders shown on the event page; whether an unlisted player’s victories affect settlement depends on the market format—review the outcome definitions on the event page to see if 'other' results are covered or if the market is restricted to the listed names.