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Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

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Markets
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All Outcomes (53)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
Scottie Scheffler 0%
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Rory McIlroy 0%
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Xander Schauffele 0%
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Bryson DeChambeau 0%
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Jon Rahm 0%
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Jacob Bridgeman 0%
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Tommy Fleetwood 0%
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Ludvig Aberg 0%
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Collin Morikawa 0%
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Justin Thomas 0%
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Jordan Spieth 0%
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Joaquin Niemann 0%
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Hideki Matsuyama 0%
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Viktor Hovland 0%
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Tyrrell Hatton 0%
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Shane Lowry 0%
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Patrick Cantlay 0%
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Matt Fitzpatrick 0%
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Cameron Young 0%
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Russell Henley 0%
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Brooks Koepka 0%
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Min Woo Lee 0%
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Will Zalatoris 0%
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Jason Day 0%
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Akshay Bhatia 0%
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Tony Finau 0%
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Adam Scott 0%
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Dustin Johnson 0%
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Patrick Reed 0%
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Justin Rose 0%
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Sam Burns 0%
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Ben Griffin 0%
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Sepp Straka 0%
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Cameron Smith 0%
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Corey Conners 0%
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Robert MacIntyre 0%
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Sahith Theegala 0%
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Maverick McNealy 0%
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Brian Harman 0%
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Wyndham Clark 0%
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Tom Kim 0%
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Keegan Bradley 0%
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Sungjae Im 0%
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J.J. Spaun 0%
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Rasmus Hojgaard 0%
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Ryan Fox 0%
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Marco Penge 0%
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Chris Gotterup 0%
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Harry Hall 0%
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Rickie Fowler 0%
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Si Woo Kim 0%
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Bud Cauley 0%
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Vijay Singh 0%
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About This Market

This prediction market asks which named player will win at least one men's professional golf major during the 2026 season. It matters because it aggregates market expectations about who is most likely to claim a major in 2026 and reacts to real-world developments like form, health, and entries.

The men's professional golf calendar includes four major championships each year; a win in any of those events during 2026 would qualify a player for this market. Historically, major winners combine elite ball-striking, course-fit, experience, and the ability to handle high-pressure situations; emerging stars and veterans both frequently factor into major outcomes. This market lists a finite set of named outcomes (51 players) and will resolve according to the exchange's rules once 2026 majors are completed and official results are posted.

Market prices are dynamic indicators of how traders collectively view each listed player's chances of winning a 2026 major; they incorporate new information such as recent results, injuries, and announced entries. Use prices to compare relative market sentiment across players rather than as fixed forecasts.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

Which specific tournaments count as a 'PGA Tour Major' for this event?

This market refers to the four men's professional major championships contested during the 2026 season (the traditional annual majors). A win in any one of those designated majors during 2026 qualifies the named player for a resolving outcome.

How and when will this market be resolved given that 'Closes' is listed as TBD?

Resolution will follow the exchange's published rules: after the 2026 majors are completed and official winners are confirmed, outcomes corresponding to any listed player who won at least one 2026 major will be declared winning. The market close date and final settlement timing will be posted by the platform when available.

Are the outcomes limited to PGA Tour members, and what happens if an unlisted player wins a 2026 major?

Outcomes are limited to the 51 players listed in this market. If an unlisted player wins a qualifying 2026 major, settlement will proceed according to the platform's rules for markets where the eventual winner is not among listed outcomes (typically all listed outcomes lose unless platform rules state otherwise).

If a named player is injured, suspended, or retires before 2026 majors, how does that affect their outcome?

Personal circumstances like injury, suspension, or retirement do not automatically change the market's outcome list; those events typically only affect traders' expectations and prices. The outcome only resolves positively if the named player officially wins a 2026 major before market settlement; otherwise their position is unsuccessful.

What kinds of news and events during 2026 tend to move prices in this market?

Key price drivers include player performances in lead-up events, official entry announcements for each major, practice-round and course-specific reports, injury updates, and any changes to tournament conditions or scheduling. Unexpected results at early-season events or a breakout performance at a major prep event often shift market sentiment quickly.

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