| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Sherrone Moore | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Mike Norvell | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bill Belichick | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Hugh Freeze | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Jonathan Smith | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Luke Fickell | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dabo Swinney | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rich Rodriguez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Mark Stoops | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Bill O'Brien | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jeff Choate | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jeff Lebby | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Derek Mason | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Greg Schiano | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Steve Sarkisian | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lincoln Riley | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kalen DeBoer | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Marcus Freeman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which named college football head coaches will no longer hold their jobs before September. It matters because pre-season coaching turnover reshapes team preparation, recruiting, and early-season expectations.
Most head-coaching changes happen after the season or in the December/January cycle, but departures can also occur in spring or late summer due to firings, resignations, health issues, or hire opportunities elsewhere. Markets that list individual coaches let participants trade on real-time information about each coach’s job security as news, investigations, or administrative decisions unfold.
Market prices reflect the collective market expectation for each listed coach’s status leading into September and update as new information arrives; they are a real-time signal of perceived risk but not guarantees of outcomes.
Typically, a coach is considered 'out' if they are no longer serving as that institution’s head coach at the market’s defined cutoff before September; this usually includes firings, resignations, retirements, or taking another head-coaching post. Check the market’s official resolution text for the precise definition used to settle outcomes.
Yes—if the coach leaves the listed head-coach position before the market’s cutoff, that departure normally counts as being 'out.' Resolution typically relies on documented announcements and the coach’s employment status with the institution.
If the original coach is replaced or no longer holds the head-coach title (for example, an interim is appointed), the original coach is usually considered 'out.' Short-term administrative leave where the coach retains the title may not constitute being 'out' unless the institution announces a permanent change.
Yes—each coach outcome is resolved independently. Several coaches on the list can be out before September, and each outcome is judged according to the market’s resolution criteria.
The market’s close is listed as TBD; follow the market page for updates and the final resolution schedule. Outcomes are typically determined using official team announcements, reputable news reporting, and the exchange’s resolution procedures as described in the market rules.